Oklahoma St.

Conference:	B12
Expected RPI:	88.0
Current RPI:	88
Expected SOS:	54
Current SOS:	54
Current Record:	19-14
Expected Record:	19-14
Current Conf Record:	9-11
Expected Conf Record:	9-11
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:	3-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:	3-6
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:	3-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:	3-0
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:	7-0
Current OOC Record:	10-3
Expected OOC Record:	10-3
Expected OOC RPI:	145
Expected OOC SOS:	295

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
19-14	88.0	100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Oklahoma St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Location	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)
11-10	Pepperdine (317.0)	WCC	H	78-47	W	100%
11-13	Charlotte (323.0)	CUSA	H	83-65	W	100%
11-16	Oral Roberts (255.0)	Sum	H	91-48	W	100%
11-20	Texas A&M (29.0)	SEC	N	55-72	L	0%
11-21	Pittsburgh (217.0)	ACC	N	67-73	W	100%
11-26	Houston Baptist (345.0)	Slnd	H	101-74	W	100%
11-29	Austin Peay (164.0)	OVC	H	79-63	W	100%
12-3	Mississippi Valley St. (349.0)	SWAC	H	83-62	W	100%
12-9	Wichita St. (16.0)	Amer	H	66-78	L	0%
12-16	Florida St. (54.0)	ACC	N	70-71	W	100%
12-19	Tulsa (89.0)	Amer	H	71-59	W	100%
12-22	UT Rio Grande Valley (229.0)	WAC	H	102-83	W	100%
12-29	West Virginia (27.0)	B12	H	79-85	L	0%
1-3	Oklahoma (49.0)	B12	A	109-89	L	0%
1-6	Iowa St. (144.0)	B12	H	96-87	W	100%
1-10	Kansas St. (53.0)	B12	A	86-82	L	0%
1-13	Texas (51.0)	B12	H	65-64	W	100%
1-15	Baylor (68.0)	B12	A	76-60	L	0%
1-20	Oklahoma (49.0)	B12	H	83-81	W	100%
1-23	Texas Tech (23.0)	B12	A	75-70	L	0%
1-27	Arkansas (30.0)	SEC	A	66-65	L	0%
1-30	TCU (26.0)	B12	H	66-79	L	0%
2-3	Kansas (5.0)	B12	A	79-84	W	100%
2-6	Baylor (68.0)	B12	H	56-67	L	0%
2-10	West Virginia (27.0)	B12	A	85-88	W	100%
2-14	Kansas St. (53.0)	B12	H	72-82	L	0%
2-17	TCU (26.0)	B12	A	90-70	L	0%
2-21	Texas Tech (23.0)	B12	H	79-71	W	100%
2-24	Texas (51.0)	B12	A	65-64	L	0%
2-27	Iowa St. (144.0)	B12	A	71-80	W	100%
3-3	Kansas (5.0)	B12	H	82-64	W	100%
3-7	Oklahoma (49.0)	B12	N	71-60	W	100%
3-8	Kansas (5.0)	B12	N	82-68	L	0%

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Oklahoma St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Oklahoma St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Oklahoma St..

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Impact	Exp Impact
Oklahoma St.	B12	26.40	26.40	53.19	53.19	1.68	1.68
Kansas	B12	5.46	5.46	83.87	83.87	3.70	3.70
Oklahoma	B12	5.38	5.38	60.71	60.71	1.15	1.15
West Virginia	B12	4.09	4.09	71.88	71.88	1.79	1.79
Kansas St.	B12	4.04	4.04	64.52	64.52	1.17	1.17
Texas	B12	3.97	3.97	58.06	58.06	0.64	0.64
Texas Tech	B12	3.96	3.96	74.19	74.19	1.92	1.92
Iowa St.	B12	3.94	3.94	44.83	44.83	-0.41	-0.41
Baylor	B12	3.94	3.94	51.72	51.72	0.14	0.14
TCU	B12	3.92	3.92	63.33	63.33	1.04	1.04
Texas A&M	SEC	1.72	1.72	61.29	61.29	0.39	0.39
Wichita St.	Amer	1.69	1.69	77.42	77.42	0.92	0.92
Tulsa	Amer	1.68	1.68	63.33	63.33	0.45	0.45
Arkansas	SEC	1.66	1.66	66.67	66.67	0.55	0.55
Oral Roberts	Sum	1.63	1.63	29.63	29.63	-0.66	-0.66
Pittsburgh	ACC	1.58	1.58	25.81	25.81	-0.77	-0.77
Pepperdine	WCC	1.57	1.57	16.67	16.67	-1.04	-1.04
Florida St.	ACC	1.54	1.54	66.67	66.67	0.51	0.51
UT Rio Grande Valley	WAC	1.54	1.54	44.83	44.83	-0.16	-0.16
Austin Peay	OVC	1.52	1.52	55.17	55.17	0.16	0.16
Charlotte	CUSA	1.52	1.52	18.52	18.52	-0.95	-0.95
Houston Baptist	Slnd	1.52	1.52	11.11	11.11	-1.18	-1.18
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	1.52	1.52	12.90	12.90	-1.12	-1.12
Nebraska Omaha	Sum	0.24	0.24	24.14	24.14	-0.12	-0.12
Alabama	SEC	0.21	0.21	55.88	55.88	0.03	0.03
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.21	0.21	44.12	44.12	-0.02	-0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.19	0.19	37.50	37.50	-0.05	-0.05
Missouri	SEC	0.19	0.19	61.29	61.29	0.04	0.04
Kentucky	SEC	0.18	0.18	70.59	70.59	0.07	0.07
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.15	0.15	30.77	30.77	-0.06	-0.06
UTSA	CUSA	0.15	0.15	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Belmont	OVC	0.15	0.15	72.73	72.73	0.07	0.07
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.15	0.15	8.00	8.00	-0.12	-0.12
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.15	0.15	25.00	25.00	-0.07	-0.07
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.14	0.14	80.00	80.00	0.09	0.09
SMU	Amer	0.14	0.14	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Savannah St.	MEAC	0.14	0.14	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Florida	SEC	0.14	0.14	62.50	62.50	0.04	0.04
Syracuse	ACC	0.14	0.14	60.61	60.61	0.03	0.03
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.14	0.14	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
North Texas	CUSA	0.13	0.13	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Portland	WCC	0.12	0.12	24.14	24.14	-0.06	-0.06
Louisville	ACC	0.12	0.12	60.61	60.61	0.03	0.03
UMKC	WAC	0.12	0.12	27.59	27.59	-0.05	-0.05
Temple	Amer	0.12	0.12	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.12	0.12	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Connecticut	Amer	0.12	0.12	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.12	0.12	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.12	0.12	93.94	93.94	0.10	0.10
Houston	Amer	0.12	0.12	78.79	78.79	0.07	0.07
Duke	ACC	0.12	0.12	78.79	78.79	0.07	0.07
Tennessee	SEC	0.12	0.12	75.76	75.76	0.06	0.06
UCF	Amer	0.12	0.12	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.11	0.11	37.50	37.50	-0.03	-0.03
South Carolina	SEC	0.11	0.11	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Arizona St.	P12	0.11	0.11	64.52	64.52	0.03	0.03
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.10	0.10	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Western Illinois	Sum	0.10	0.10	33.33	33.33	-0.03	-0.03
South Dakota	Sum	0.10	0.10	73.33	73.33	0.05	0.05
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Florida Atlantic	CUSA	0.10	0.10	32.14	32.14	-0.04	-0.04
East Carolina	Amer	0.10	0.10	33.33	33.33	-0.03	-0.03
South Florida	Amer	0.10	0.10	31.25	31.25	-0.04	-0.04
Rice	CUSA	0.10	0.10	17.24	17.24	-0.06	-0.06
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.10	0.10	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Memphis	Amer	0.10	0.10	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Tulane	Amer	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
USC	P12	0.10	0.10	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.10	0.10	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.10	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Notre Dame	ACC	0.10	0.10	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.10	0.10	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.09	0.09	88.24	88.24	0.07	0.07
Oakland	Horz	0.09	0.09	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Nevada	MWC	0.09	0.09	79.41	79.41	0.05	0.05
LSU	SEC	0.09	0.09	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.09	0.09	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
American	Pat	0.09	0.09	20.00	20.00	-0.05	-0.05
Denver	Sum	0.08	0.08	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	60.71	60.71	0.02	0.02
Western Kentucky	CUSA	0.08	0.08	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Lamar	Slnd	0.08	0.08	53.57	53.57	0.01	0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	32.00	32.00	-0.03	-0.03
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.08	0.08	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Seattle	WAC	0.08	0.08	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.08	0.08	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.07	0.07	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Grand Canyon	WAC	0.07	0.07	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.07	0.07	40.62	40.62	-0.01	-0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.07	0.07	58.06	58.06	0.01	0.01
Oregon	P12	0.07	0.07	64.71	64.71	0.02	0.02
Saint Mary's	WCC	0.07	0.07	84.85	84.85	0.05	0.05
Santa Clara	WCC	0.07	0.07	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Abilene Christian	Slnd	0.07	0.07	44.44	44.44	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	CUSA	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Cal St. Bakersfield	WAC	0.07	0.07	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.07	0.07	9.68	9.68	-0.06	-0.06
Grambling St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
BYU	WCC	0.07	0.07	70.59	70.59	0.03	0.03
Clemson	ACC	0.07	0.07	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Cincinnati	Amer	0.07	0.07	88.24	88.24	0.05	0.05
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.07	0.07	70.00	70.00	0.03	0.03
UC Irvine	BW	0.07	0.07	48.48	48.48	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.07	0.07	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.07	0.07	71.43	71.43	0.03	0.03
George Washington	A10	0.07	0.07	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.07	0.07	28.57	28.57	-0.03	-0.03
Fordham	A10	0.07	0.07	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
Long Beach St.	BW	0.07	0.07	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.07	0.07	78.12	78.12	0.04	0.04
Nebraska	B10	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Stanford	P12	0.07	0.07	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.07	0.07	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Washington	P12	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
FIU	CUSA	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Incarnate Word	Slnd	0.05	0.05	12.50	12.50	-0.04	-0.04
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Old Dominion	CUSA	0.05	0.05	78.12	78.12	0.03	0.03
Texas St.	SB	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Miss	CUSA	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
College of Charleston	CAA	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.05	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.05	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Montana	BSky	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.05	58.06	58.06	0.01	0.01
UNLV	MWC	0.05	0.05	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Chicago St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	3.33	3.33	-0.05	-0.05
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	82.76	82.76	0.03	0.03
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	83.33	83.33	0.03	0.03
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.05	30.00	30.00	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Utah Valley	WAC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Appalachian St.	SB	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Boise St.	MWC	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.02	0.02
Creighton	BE	0.05	0.05	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.05	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.05	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.05	16.67	16.67	-0.03	-0.03
Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Pacific	WCC	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.05	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.05	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Xavier	BE	0.05	0.05	84.85	84.85	0.03	0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Troy	SB	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.05	78.12	78.12	0.03	0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Samford	SC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Butler	BE	0.05	0.05	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.05	24.24	24.24	-0.02	-0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.05	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Maine	AE	0.05	0.05	13.33	13.33	-0.03	-0.03
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.05	79.41	79.41	0.03	0.03
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.05	0.05	13.33	13.33	-0.03	-0.03
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
USC Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.05	10.71	10.71	-0.04	-0.04
VCU	A10	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Washington St.	P12	0.05	0.05	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.04	0.04	15.62	15.62	-0.03	-0.03
Marist	MAAC	0.04	0.04	19.35	19.35	-0.03	-0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.04	0.04	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
NJIT	ASun	0.04	0.04	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Davidson	A10	0.03	0.03	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.03	0.03	20.00	20.00	-0.02	-0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.03	0.03	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
Little Rock	SB	0.03	0.03	20.00	20.00	-0.02	-0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.03	0.03	87.88	87.88	0.02	0.02
Middle Tennessee	CUSA	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.67	0.01	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
New Orleans	Slnd	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Presbyterian	BSth	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Providence	BE	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Saint Peter's	MAAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.03	0.03	80.00	80.00	0.02	0.02
UTEP	CUSA	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.03	0.03	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Illinois	B10	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	22.22	22.22	-0.01	-0.01
UNC Asheville	BSth	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
UT Arlington	SB	0.03	0.03	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.02	0.02	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola MD	Pat	0.02	0.02	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Rutgers	B10	0.02	0.02	42.42	42.42	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Utah	BSky	0.02	0.02	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.02	0.02	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.02	0.02	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Weber St.	BSky	0.02	0.02	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Akron	MAC	0.02	0.02	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Arizona	P12	0.02	0.02	79.41	79.41	0.01	0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.02	0.02	30.00	30.00	-0.01	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.02	0.02	75.76	75.76	0.01	0.01
California	P12	0.02	0.02	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.02	0.02	6.67	6.67	-0.02	-0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.02	0.02	48.48	48.48	-0.00	-0.00
Lehigh	Pat	0.02	0.02	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Loyola Chicago	MVC	0.02	0.02	84.38	84.38	0.02	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.02	0.02	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.02	0.02	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Navy	Pat	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Northern Kentucky	Horz	0.02	0.02	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Towson	CAA	0.02	0.02	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Utah	P12	0.02	0.02	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Utah St.	MWC	0.02	0.02	48.48	48.48	-0.00	-0.00
Bucknell	Pat	0.02	0.02	73.53	73.53	0.01	0.01
Fresno St.	MWC	0.02	0.02	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01